Predictions

Title odds

Argentina

19.3%

France

16.0%

Spain

11.5%

Brazil

10.4%

England

6.9%

Portugal

6.5%

Netherlands

5.8%

Germany

4.6%

Belgium

3.6%

Croatia

2.4%

Colombia

1.7%

Uruguay

1.5%

Morocco

1.2%

Switzerland

0.9%

Japan

0.8%

Norway

0.8%

Chance to advance (Round of 32)

Group A

Czechia

76%

Mexico

75%

South Korea

72%

South Africa

Model: Elo-based Poisson scorelines for group games, Elo single-elimination for knockouts, marginalized over 10,000 runs. Real results are factored in as matches finish. Estimates only.